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Uncertainty and the Future

This theme seeks to explore uncertainty and its connections with the possible trajectory of the future, addressing key questions and challenges that arise in navigating uncertainty in complex systems.

This interdisciplinary theme aims to develop and apply innovative solutions to understand and communicate uncertainty and examine its implications for policy and decision-making.

The theme covers several topic areas, including:

  1. Digital technologies for modelling and communicating uncertainty: developing and applying methodologies to model and communicate future uncertainty, integrating both qualitative and quantitative information
  2. Forecasting, foresight, and scenario planning: Developing and using tools to help organisations make better decisions under uncertainty
  3. History and the Future: Investigating how the past might be used to understand the future
  4. Uncertainty, transitions, and future generations: Investigating how uncertainties affect transitional times and their implications for future generations
  5. Resilient and antifragile systems: Investigating how to build systems that can adapt and thrive in uncertain environments
  6. Interdisciplinary perspectives: Examining how various disciplines conceptualise and account for uncertainty, as well as identifying potential for interdisciplinary collaboration to address complex future challenges
  7. Uncertainty, science, and science fiction: Exploring the role of uncertainty in science and using science fiction to gain a greater understanding of the uncertainty and the future