Landslide probability predictions from ShakeSlide
27 April 2015
Rob Parker's post-doctoral research has involved developing an earthquake-induced landslide model 'ShakeSlide'. ShakeSlide provides a first-order prediction of the probability of landsliding across regions affected by seismic shaking, using ground motion data published by the United States Geological Survey. The predictions are based on a statistical analysis of spatial patterns of landslides triggered by a sample of large earthquakes in the USA, New Zealand, Taiwan and China.
The model predictions provide a rapid, first-order assessment of earthquake-triggered landslide hazards, and are currently being used to guide efforts to map landslide damage caused by the recent devastating earthquake in Nepal.
The model has been run for the recent Nepal earthquake and the results posted in the NERC blog: http://ewf.nerc.ac.uk/2015/04/25/nepal-earthquake-likely-areas-of-landsliding/