
Yr Athro Jeff Griffiths
Honorary Distinguished Research Professor
- Email:
- griffiths@cardiff.ac.uk
- Telephone:
- +44 (0)29 2087 4202
- Location:
- M/2.42, 2nd Floor, Mathematics Institute, Senghennydd Road, Cardiff, CF24 4AG
I have been a member of staff at Cardiff University since 1964 and was Head of the School of Mathematics for most of the period from 1983 to 2006. I was appointed Dean of the Science Faculty in 1991.
I have received grants and awards totaling over £1M. I have been an invited speaker at a large number of conferences both in the UK and overseas, and have organised several international conferences. I am the author of over 100 publications and reports. I have also appeared in expert capacity in several television and radio programmes, and as an expert witness in High Court actions.
Research group
My PhD is in Stochastic Processes, and I first became interested in Epidemiology and Healthcare when investigating the world-wide eradication of smallpox in the late 1960s and early 1970s.
Since that time I have undertaken a large number of consultancies and contracts with government establishments and with a variety of public and private companies, including:
- GlaxoWellcome (GlaxoSmithKline)
- University Hospital of Wales
- National Health Service
- Welsh Assembly Government.
I have also worked extensively in the field of transport, with particular reference to congestion problems, and has held consultancies with BP Oil Ltd, Department of Transport, British Steel, Welsh Office, Maunsell Consultancy Services, Suez Canal Authority, Transport Research Laboratory, etc.
I've worked in many parts of the world including Europe, USA, Canada, Africa, Middle East, Far East, Australia, and New Zealand.
Ymrwymiadau siarad cyhoeddus
Invited or plenary talks at major conferences
- Invited speaker at Columbia University, New York City, February 2009
- Invited Plenary Speaker at UK OR Conference, September 2009
- Invited Plenary Speaker at CELT-MSOR Conference, September 2012
- Invited Plenary Speaker at CELT-MSOR Conference, September 2013
Workshops organized
- Healthcare Workshop 19-20 January 2009, Millennium Stadium and CU
- Healthcare Workshop 25 January 2011, CU
- Modern Trends in Markov Processes and Queueing Theory, 15 February 2013, CU
2017
- Knight, V. A., Komenda, I. and Griffiths, J. D. 2017. Measuring the price of anarchy in critical care unit interactions. Journal of the Operational Research Society 68(6), pp. 630-642. (10.1057/s41274-016-0100-8)
2015
- Williams, J.et al. 2015. Mathematical modelling of patient flows to predict critical care capacity required following the merger of two district general hospitals into one. Anaesthesia 70(1), pp. 32-40. (10.1111/anae.12839)
2013
- Griffiths, J. D., Williams, J. E. and Wood, R. M. 2013. Modelling activities at a neurological rehabilitation unit. European Journal of Operational Research 226(2), pp. 301-312. (10.1016/j.ejor.2012.10.037)
- Griffiths, J. D., Knight, V. A. and Komenda, I. 2013. Bed management in a critical care unit. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 24(2), pp. 137-153. (10.1093/imaman/dpr028)
- Joseph-Williams, N.et al. 2013. The cost implications of informed decision-making: a mathematical simulation model of the potential financial effects of a web-based prostate specific antigen decision aid. European Journal for Person Centered Healthcare 1(1), pp. 193-201. (10.5750/ejpch.v1i1.651)
2012
- Griffiths, J. D., Williams, J. E. and Wood, R. M. 2012. Scheduling physiotherapy treatment in an inpatient setting. Operations Research for Health Care 1(4), pp. 65-72. (10.1016/j.orhc.2012.08.001)
- Bareš, R.et al. 2012. Simulating bed capacity: evaluating the impact of healthcare service transfers. Presented at: 14th International Conference on Modelling and Simulation, Cambridge, UK, 28-30 March 201214th International Conference on Modelling and Simulation. Los Alamitos, CA: IEEE pp. 358-362., (10.1109/UKSim.2012.59)
- Knight, V. A.et al. 2012. How efficient can an emergency unit be? A perfect world model. Emergency Medicine Journal (10.1136/emermed-2011-200101)
- Griffiths, J. D.et al. 2012. Modelling the effect of operative delay on a trauma hip fracture ward at a large teaching hospital. GSTF Journal of Mathematics, Statistics and Operational Research 1(1), pp. 61-66.
2011
- Funnell, A., Griffiths, J. D. and Hodzovic, I. 2011. A further case of rocuronium-induced anaphylaxis treated with sugammadex [Letter]. BJA: British Journal of Anaesthesia 107(2), pp. 275-276. (10.1093/bja/aer211)
2010
- Griffiths, J. D.et al. 2010. A simulation model of bed-occupancy in a critical care unit. Journal of Simulation 4(1), pp. 52-59. (10.1057/jos.2009.22)
- Evans, R.et al. 2010. Supporting informed decision making for prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing on the web: an online randomized controlled trial. Journal of Medical Internet Research 12(3), article number: e27. (10.2196/jmir.1305)
2008
- Griffiths, J. D., Leonenko, G. M. and Williams, J. E. 2008. Time-dependent analysis of non-empty M/E k/1 queue. Quality Technology and Quantitative Management 5(3), pp. 309-320.
- Griffiths, J. D., Leonenko, G. M. and Williams, J. E. 2008. Approximation to the Transient Solution of the M/Ek/1 Queue. INFORMS Journal on Computing 20(4), pp. 510-515. (10.1287/ijoc.1070.0262)
- Griffiths, J. D., Leonenko, G. M. and Williams, J. E. 2008. Time-dependent analysis of non-empty M/Ek/1 queue. Quality Technology and Quantitative Management 5(3), pp. 309-320.
2006
- Griffiths, J. D., Lawson, Z. F. and Williams, J. E. 2006. Modelling treatment effects in the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Journal of the Operational Research Society 57(12), pp. 1413-1424. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602120)
- Griffiths, J. D. 2006. Cascades of Queues. Journal of the Operational Research Society 57(6), pp. 711-717. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602044)
- Griffiths, J. D., Leonenko, G. M. and Williams, J. E. 2006. The transient solution to M/Ek/1 queue. Operations Research Letters 34(3), pp. 349-354. (10.1016/j.orl.2005.05.010)
- Griffiths, J. D.et al. 2006. A Queueing Model of Activities in an Intensive Care Unit. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 17(3), pp. 277-288. (10.1093/imaman/dpi042)
2005
- Griffiths, J. D.et al. 2005. Modelling the requirement for supplementary nurses in an intensive care unit. Journal of the Operational Research Society 56(2), pp. 126-133. (10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601882)
- Griffiths, J. D., Leonenko, G. M. and Williams, J. E. 2005. Generalization of the modified Bessel function and its generating function. Fractional Calculus and Applied Analysis 8(3), pp. 267-276.
2004
- McEwan, P. C.et al. 2004. Evaluating the performance of the Framingham risk equations in a population with diabetes. Diabetic Medicine 21(4), pp. 318-323. (10.1111/j.1464-5491.2004.01139.x)
Postgraduate students
Over the last ten years I have supervised the following PhD students:
- Jack Baber
- Mari Jones
- Cheryl Voake
- Zoe Lawson
- Ganna Leonenko
- Naomi Price-Lloyd
- Dawn Lowrie
- Emma Snary
- Rachael Salmon
- Phil McEwan
- Tracey England
I have been awarded a number of Research Council grants, and have received financial support from the European Union and World Health Organisation for my work on modelling the spread of HIV/AIDS.
From 1987 - 1997 I was UK representative on the EU Concerted Action to investigate the control and spread of HIV/AIDS in Europe. This project involved about 70 researchers, with representatives from all EU countries, plus invited guests from USA.
I have lectured widely on HIV/AIDS, particularly in USA, and was the lead speaker at the Baltic Operational Research Conference held in Vilnius, Lithuania in 2003.
In 2008 I was awarded an EPSRC Science and Innovation grant (LANCS Initiative) in conjunction with the Universities of Lancaster, Nottingham, and Southampton. Cardiff's share of this grant was approximately £1.3 million.
I lead the Healthcare Research Cluster of the LANCS Initiative. Current and recent projects include:
- Investigation of risk factors associated with diabetes mellitis
- Study of treatment effects for HIV/AIDS
- Macro-vascular disease in diabetes patients
- Age effects in patients with HIV/AIDS
- Intensive Care and High Dependency facilities in a large Teaching Hospital
- Comparison of treatments for osteoporosis
- Methicillin Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus and Methicillin Sensitive Staphylococcus Aureus mortality comparisons
- Diagnosis of bone mineral density disease
- Modelling waiting times and waiting lists in National Health Service hospitals in Wales
- Modelling treatments regimes in a rehabilitation hospital
- Modelling hip-fracture facilities in a teaching hospital.
Research interests
- Queueing Theory
- Discrete Event Simulation
- Healthcare Modelling
- Epidemiology
- Transport Modelling
Research activities
I head the Operational Research Group within the School of Mathematics. Some current and recent projects include:
- Investigation of risk factors associated with diabetes mellitus (GlaxoSmithKline)
- Study of treatment effects for HIV/AIDS (EU)
- Macro-vascular disease in diabetes patients
- Age effects in patients with HIV/AIDS
- Intensive Care and High Dependency facilities in a large Teaching Hospital (NHS)
- Comparison of treatments for osteoporosis (Royal Glamorgan Hospital)
- Methicillin Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus and Methicillin Sensitive Staphylococcus Aureus mortality comparisons (NHS)
- Diagnosis of bone mineral density disease (Royal Glamorgan Hospital)
- Modelling waiting times and waiting lists in National Health Service hospitals in Wales (Welsh Assembly Government)
- Modelling Hospital Operating Theatre Performance (NHS)