Dr Maggie Chen
Senior Lecturer in Financial Mathematics
I am a member of the Operational Research Group
- Stochastic Processes and Financial Applications
- Market Microstructure and Ultra-High Frequency Trading
- Financial Modelling of Volatility
- Jumps and Liquidity
- Hawkes Process
Dr Jing (Maggie) Chen holds BSc in Computer Science from the Lanzhou Jiaotong University, China, MSc in Finance & Investment Management and PhD in Finance from the University of Aberdeen, UK (2011).
Prior to coming to the UK, Dr Chen worked at China Telecom and Dell (China) ltd. She started her business career as a computer software engineer, specialising in programming and system design before moving into company management and subsequently, pursuing an academic career in finance and investment. From September 2010 to August 2015, Dr Chen has been a lecturer and senior lecturer in the School of Management at Swansea University and senior lecturer in financial mathematics in the School of Mathematics at Cardiff University afterwards. During the 2014/2015 academic year, Maggie holds visiting/adjunct professorship in the Statistics Departments in both the Columbia University (New York City) and University College London.
Maggie’s main research focus is on liquidity provision, information dynamics and their relation to policy changes in financial markets. To date, her research agenda has focused on modelling the effect of various liquidity measures on trading decisions in different segments of financial markets in both developed countries (e.g., the UK) and emerging economies (e.g., China). Recently, this research has mainly focused on applying Hawkes processes to model jumps in financial markets. The overarching goal of the research agenda has been to obtain more robust and powerful empirically derived measures of liquidity utilising market microstructure theories drawn from the academic finance literature. She anticipates that this area of research activity could help investors, analysts, regulators and others to better assess information on market liquidity, and so more effectively predict future prices and trades. The applications of Hawkes types of models can also be extended to users in other industries such as insurance, into which industry Maggie has invested time and effort to form good understanding.
Dr Chen has built-up an international research profile by publishing her work in leading academic finance journals. Her work has appeared in esteemed international scholarly journals including the Pacific Basin Finance Journal, European Journal of Finance, Journal of Economics Behaviour and Organisation and Journal of Forecasting. Additionally, her study on the link between CDSs and the current Eurozone sovereign debt crisis has been cited in the House of Lords and the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).Her research was reported in the Financial Times in its edition of 14 November 2011. - See more at here.
Most recently, her research on Jump detection has attracted wide interest from the U.S. regulators and practitioners from the industry. This work is presented in the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the Office of Financial Research (OFR) and International Monetary Fund (IMF). Other on-going projects Maggie collaborates with CFTC will potentially build up policy impact in the area of High Frequency Trading.
Since February 2016 I have also acted as Director of Internationals of the School of Mathematics. I have led the signing of MoU (Memorandum of Understanding) with four top universities in China, which guarantee 30 international students (at least 10 of whom are recruited onto Financial Mathematics). These are
- Xiamen University (XMU): I obtained two mobility funds to facilitate collaboration at all levels including faculty research, joint PhDs and various u/g and p/g programs. I have signed agreements for 1+3 u/g program; 1+1 p/g program; 1+1+1 p/g program. These are expected to generate approximately good income flow and international students over 3 years.
- Beijing Normal University (BNU): I signed an agreement for a 3+1 schemefor 3 years with good estimated income and international student numbers.
- Beijing Normal university, Zhuhai (BNUZ): I signed a 2+2 for 3 years with with potential income and students.
- Beijing University of Technology (BJUT): I signed an agreement on 1+1 at p/g level for 3 years.
I also chaired an EPSRC doctoral scholarship interview panel within the School of Mathematics and am a member of the School Board. Outside Cardiff, I am currently external examiner in finance at Bath University and at Plymouth University.
Maggie’s main research focus is on liquidity provision, information dynamics and their relation to policy changes in financial markets. To date, her research agenda has focused on modelling the effect of various liquidity measures on trading decisions in different segments of financial markets. Recently, this research has mainly focused on applying Hawkes processes to model jumps and portfolio decompositions. The overarching goal of the research agenda has been to obtain more robust and powerful empirically derived measures of liquidity utilizing market microstructure theories drawn from the academic finance literature. She anticipates that this area of research activity could help investors, analysts, regulators and others to better assess information on market liquidity, and so more effectively predict future prices and trades. The applications of Hawkes types of models can also be extended to users in other industries such as insurance, into which industry Maggie has invested time and effort to form good understanding.
- Chen, J., Dong, Y., Hou, W. & McMillan, D (2018). Does feedback trading drive return of cross-listed shares? International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money (JIFMIM), Special Issue on “Cross Country Issues on Credit, Banking, Asset Pricing, and Market Liquidity”. Forthcoming. DoI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2017.09.018.
- Chen, J., Buckle, M. & Tong, C (2018). A Network Visualization Approach and Global Stock Market. International Journal of Finance and Economics. Forthcoming. DoI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.1617.
- Chen, J., Hawkes, A., Liu, A. & Yang, S (2018). Applications of Multi-variate Hawkes Process to Joint Modelling of Sentiment and Market Return Events. Quantitative Finance, Special Issue on ‘Hawkes Processes in Finance’. Forthcoming. DoI: https://doi.org/10/.1080/14697688.2017.1403156
- Chen, J., Hawkes, A. & Khaldoun, K (2018). A Slightly Depressing Jump Model. Quantitative Finance, Special Issue on ‘Hawkes Processes in Finance’. Forthcoming. DoI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2017.1403139.
- Chen, J., Hawkes, A., Scalas, E. & Trinh, M (2018). Performance of Information Criteria used for Model Selection of Hawkes Process Models of High-frequency Financial Data. Quantitative Finance, Special Issue on ‘Hawkes Processes in Finance’. Forthcoming. DoI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2017.1403140.
- Chen, J., Buckle, M., Guo, Q. & Tong, C (2018). Do ETFs lead the price moves? Evidence from the major US markets. International Review of Financial Analysis. Forthcoming. DoI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2017.12.005
- Chen, J., Buckle, M., Guo, Q. & Li, X (Nov, 2018). The Impact of Multilateral Trading Facilities on Price Discovery. Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments. Vol 27 (4). Forthcoming.
- Chen, J. Buckle, M. & McMillan, D. (2017). The Impact of Short Selling Restrictions on Information Transmission across European Equity Markets. Under submission to The Manchester School. Revise & Resubmit.
- Chen, J., Ma, D., Song, X. & Tippett, M. (2017). Negative Real Interest Rates. The Journal of European Finance. Vol. 23(15), pp. 1447-1467. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2016.1158729.
- Chen, J., Buckle, M. & Williams, J. (2016). Realized Higher Moments: Theory and Practice. The European Journal of Finance. Special Issue of papers presented at the Fifth International Conference on Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Vol. 33 (13), pp. 1272-1291.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/1351847X.2014.885456.
- Chen, J., Buckle, M. & Williams, J. (2014). How Predictable Are Equity Covariance Matrices? Evidence from High Frequency Data for Four Markets. Journal of Forecasting, vol. 33 (7), pp. 542-557. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/for.2310.
- Chen, J., Calice, G. & Williams, J. & (2013). 'Are There Benefits To Being Naked? The Returns and Diversification Impact of Capital Structure Arbitrage'. European Journal of Finance, 19(9), pp. 815-840. DOI:10.1080/1351847X.2011.637115. (This has been written into a feature article on Financial Times on Nov14, 2011; this is also documented as evidence to the House of Lords).
- Chen, J., Calice, G. & Williams, J. (2013). Liquidity Interactions in Credit Markets: A Preliminary Analysis of the Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis. Journal of Economics Behavior and Organization, vol. 85, pp. 122-143. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2011.10.013. (This has been documented as a chapter to contribute to OECD Law Symposium, 2011).
- Chen, J., Buckland, R. & Williams, J. (2011). Regulatory Changes, ‘Market Integration and Spill-Over Effects in the Chinese A, B and Hong Kong Equity Markets’. Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 19(4), pp. 351-373. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2011.01.002 .
Selected Conference Talks
- CFE-CMStatistics Conference. London. 12/2017
- CFE-CMStatistics Conference. Paris. 11/2016
- British Science Festival. Swansea. 08/2016
- CFTC, IMF and OFR joint seminar series. Washington DC. 10/2015
- The 51st, 52nd & 53rd Gregynog Statistical Conference. Gregynog. 04/2015-2018 (Organizer)
- Emerging Risk Modelling Conference 2015. London UK. 10/2015 (Industry Conference)
- St. John's University School of Risk Management Conference (jointly with the International Insurance Society). New York. 10/2014
- Catastrophic Risk Modelling Conference 2013. Cambridge UK. 09/2013 2015 (Industry Conference)
- Welsh Universities Accounting and Finance Colloquium 2013, Gregynog, UK. 05/2013(also the Colloquium Coordinator)
- BAFA South Region Conference 2012, Aberystwyth, UK. 08/2012
- A Workshop on Ultra-high Frequency Econometrics, Market Liquidity and Microstructure. Isle of Skye, Scotland. 06/2012. (Acted as the co-chair)
- Welsh Universities Accounting and Finance Colloquium 2012, Gregynog, UK. 05/2012 (also the Colloquium Organizer)
- The 5th International Conference MAF 2012 (Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance). Venice, Italy. 04/ 2012
- OECD Banking Law Symposium 2011. Paris, France.10/2011(Invited Panel Discussant)
- Conference on Financial Sector Performance & Risk (Post-Crisis). Bangor. 06/201
- Asian Finance Association Annual Meeting (AsianFA2011), Macau. 07/2011
- HUKU 2011 Conference. Copenhagen, Denmark. 05/2011
- International Conference on Financial Markets, Shanghai, China, 07/2010
- The 27th Spring Conference of the French Finance Association, Saint-Malo, France, 04/2010
- Finance and Corporate Governance Conference (FGCG), Melbourne, Australia, 04/2010
- Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University. 03/2015 & 10/2017
- Hawkes Empirical Centre, School of Management, Swansea University. 06/2017
- School of Management, University of Bath. 02/2016
- School of Management, Swansea University. 03/2016; 03/2017
- School of Mathematics, Cardiff University. 11/2015
- Plymouth Business School, Plymouth University. 11/2015
- Commodity Futures Trading Committee (CFTC), The Federal Reserve (Feds), International Monetary Fund (IMF) & Office of Finance Research (OFR) special seminar. Washington DC.10/2015
- Department of Statistics, University College London. 04/2015
- Department of Informatics, King’s College London. 03/2015
- Department of Management, King’s College London. 03/2015
- Steven’s Institute Research Seminar Series (New Jersey). 01/2015Steven’s Institute Research Seminar Series (New Jersey). 10/2014
- Swansea University Texas Strategic Partnership & Research Showcase (Houston, College Station & Austin). 10/2014
- Credit Suisse Seminar Series. Credit Suisse (New York). 10/2014
- Institution of Insurance, Risk Management & Actuarial Science, St. John’s University (New York). 10/2014
- Credit Suisse Seminar Series. Credit Suisse (London). 09/2013
- Department of Economics, College of Business, Economics and Law, Swansea University. 12/2012
- School of Business and Economics, Loughborough University. 03/2012
- Business School, Leeds University. 11/2011
- School of Management, University of Bath. 11/2011
- School of Business and Economics, Swansea University. 11/2011
- Cardiff Business School, Cardiff University. 10/2011
- School of Economics, Finance and Management, University of Bristol. 10/2011
- Royal Society Intenational Exchanges 2017 Cost Share (China) Grant: 09/2017, £11,560. Under submission
- MSCA International Fellowship: 09/2017, £183,454.80. Under submission
- Xiamen-Cardiff University Mobility Fund: 03/2017, £5000. Awarded
- Xiamen-Cardiff University Mobility Fund: 03/2017, £5000. Awarded
- Swansea University Business School Special Research Funding: 0/2013, £13,000. Awarded
- Swansea University Business School Special Research Funding: 07/2012, £14,000. Awarded
- 12-month sabbatical at Columbia University & UCL, 09/2014-08/2-15. Awarded by Swansea University Business School
- Guest editor: Quantitative Finance, special issue on 'Hawkes processes in finance'. 2017-2018
- Guest editor: The European Journal of Finance, special issue on 'Hawkes processes in finance, market structure and impact'. 2017-2019
- Associate editor: Cogent Economics & Finance. 2017- 09/2017
Dr Chen Tong, Thesis: Network Approach and Applications in Finance: Linking Financial Networks to Trade Networks
Dr Aimee Ridsdale, Thesis: How Trading Migration Affects the Market Structure: Moving From OTC to Central Clearing Houses
Dr Xiaoxi Li, Thesis: Impact of MiFiD on Financial Marekts
Mr Sebastien Pierre, 01/2018-now
Topic: Forecasting modeling for complex financial systems utilising an intensity based point process.