Workshop on Extremal Trends in Weather (WET Weather) 2019

This event has ended.

Join us for the first of two Workshops on Extremal Trends in Weather (WET Weather) from 29 April to 1 May 2019 at Gregynog in Wales to discuss the suitability of data and methods for a better understanding of rare and hazardous events in a warming climate.

The most hazardous weather events are by nature rare and one of the greatest challenges for climate researchers is the societal request for information about changes to the frequency and magnitudes of extreme events and consequential risks to communities and the environment in decades to come.

In view of the imminent release of the 2018 UK climate projections (the UKCP18), this meeting provides a forum for discussing the suitability of data and methods to answer questions around future extreme events, with major objectives being:

• To facilitate discussion and build new partnerships between researchers in statistical and environmental science disciplines with an interest in rare and hazardous events.
• To introduce environmental researchers to a broader range of opportunities offered by current techniques in extreme value theory (EVT).
• To demonstrate the challenges experienced by environmental researchers, particularly how climate change information comes in many different formats, and how its production can hamper the ability to robustly and accurately estimate characteristics of future extreme events.

Confirmed speakers for 2019

• Simon Brown (Lead Scientist and Climate Extremes Research Manager at the UK Met Office)
• Douglas Maraun (Head of Regional Climate Modelling Group, Wegener Center for Climate and Global Change, Graz, AT, tentatively)
• Philippe Naveau (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, FR)
• David Stephenson (Director of the Exeter Climate Systems (XCS) research centre)
• Jonathan Tawn (Director of STOR-i, Lancaster, UK)
• Chen Zhou (Erasmus University of Rotterdam/De Nederlandsche Bank)

This workshop is supported by the Royal Statistical Society.

Travel information

Via public transport:

From within the UK: Take a train to Newtown (Wales).
For further information see https://www.gwr.com/
Ahead of the meeting we will ask you about your arrival time so that we can pick you up from there.

From other destinations: 
The closest airport is Birmingham International.
There are regular trains from Birmingham International to Newtown (Wales).
For further information see https://www.gwr.com/
Ahead of the meeting we will ask you about your arrival time so that we can pick you up from there.

By car:
See http://www.gregynog.org/contact/